User-oriented model to support funding decisions in pavement management

A new choice model for corrective road maintenance work based on an economic evaluation of users' expectations and perceptions about road quality is proposed. Because uncertainty affects human subjective perception processes, the model uses fuzzy sets to deal with this kind of uncertainty. Accordingly, the international roughness index was first fuzzified by combining users' perceptions about pavement conditions with ranges of speeds for four different categories of rural roads. These fuzzy values were then used to calculate vehicle operating costs and freeflow speed. The latter can be considered a function of the international roughness index and the law enforcement factor. To calculate this factor, a fuzzy inference system was set up. Vehicle operating costs and free-flow speed, as well as the value of time, were then used to calculate the travel cost perceived by users. The model finds, through fuzzy maximization of the difference between perceived travel costs before and after interventions, the best allocation of the available budget for a rural road network. In other words, the results suggest the extent of interventions on specific road sections. An application to a real network shows how the proposed model may be used.